Another study: Covid vaxes not Effective against Death in the Aged
And there's more to come after this one.
We’ve just seen the Victorian study Yap et al quietly provide data indicating that 1 Dose and 2 Dose people in Residential Aged Care Facilities were NOT significantly advantaged against Covid-19 Death, over an Unvaccinated group.
And here is another study, Mulleme et al, reporting case, death and vaccination numbers, also from Victoria, and over a similar Delta period, that allow one to calculate the odds on Death, again for RACF residents.
The authors didn’t spell it out for the readers, but if one puts the numbers into the basic statistical Odds Ratio test, one finds that the 2 Dose+ people were more likely to die from covid during the Delta period than the combined 0 Dose and 1 Dose people, although this did not reach significance.
And wherever the “Unknown vaccination status” people cohort, with the 2 Dose or the 0/1 Dose, there is still no significant result.
I wonder how the stats would look if the authors provided data on vaccinated people in the cohort who died in close proximity to their vaccination date, but were not covid positive. And I’d also like to know the covid attack rate on 2 Dose vs 0 Dose, given so many reports of accelerated infection in the newly vaccinated, as perhaps hinted below…
The authors also looked at a 16 day period of omicron at the start of January, for which they changed their vaccination definition categories. “Up to date” no longer meant “2 Doses”, but rather 3 Doses, and only if the 3rd Dose was more than 14 days before the diagnosis date. Further “Not up to date” now meant 0, 1 or 2 Doses. And then they found some positive results for the boosters :D
Personally, I think the result will be the consequence of statistical architecture and sociological factors.
The purported main purpose of this study however was to evaluate Omicron against Delta, finding that hospitalisation and death rates among RACF residents were considerably lower during the Omicron Ba1 period compared to the Delta period.